by maildunais | 1 Jan 2023 | Jean-François Seznec, Nicolas Dunais
Gulf States are in the front line of the strategic competition between China and the United States. The former seeks to secure a steady supply of oil while extending its economic and technology influence. The latter continues to play a dominant role in enabling the defence of Gulf States while leveraging this position to keep them from embracing China. This situation is also reflected in the recurring topic of the dedollarization of global oil-trade and China’s desire to settle oil-purchases in its own currency, the Renminbi, which for a variety of reasons does not yet serve the interests of Gulf-based oil-exporters. This report argues that a multilateral and oil-collateralized digital currency (MCDC) could provide like-minded Gulf oil-exporters with a tool of partial monetary policy independence and enhanced global influence, ultimately enabling them to carve a more independent policy that serves their own interest rather than the one of either of the two super-powers.
by maildunais | 2 Aug 2021 | Dr N Janardhan, Nicolas Dunais
The competition between China and India continues to grow, driven by territorial disputes and China’s growing strategic dominance and assertiveness. Both countries are also increasing their demand for energy and raw materials to fuel their economic growth. In our latest report, Dr Naranayappa Janardhan (Anwar Gargash Diplomatic Academy) and Nicolas Dunais (Azal Advisors) argue that Gulf policymakers should pursue a balanced relationship with China and India, avoid “picking sides”, and where possible, encourage them to cooperate rather than compete in the commercial and security realms.
by maildunais | 28 Feb 2021 | Jean-François Seznec, Nicolas Dunais
Is the new drive behind the internationalization of the renminbi a game changer for hydrocarbon trade between China and the GCC? For the GCC’s oil & gas exporters, a shift towards the petro-yuan has long been perceived as detrimental to the strategic security partnership with the United States. In our latest report, the Atlantic Council’s Jean Francois Seznec and Azal Advisors Managing Director Nicolas Dunais argue that the combination of energy-flow rebalancing, loose US monetary policy, and financial reforms in China are paving the way for a broader acceptance of the renminbi by Gulf hydrocarbon exporters while minimizing risks to the relationship with the United States.
